The Evolving Conservative Landscape: CPAC 2026 and Beyond
The Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) has always been a barometer of the Republican Party's pulse, and this year's event in Dallas offered a fascinating glimpse into the shifting dynamics within the MAGA movement. With President Trump notably absent, the conference revealed both unity and division among conservatives, especially regarding the ongoing war in Iran.
The Trump Show, With or Without Trump
CPAC 2026 was a curious affair, as it celebrated Trumpism without the man himself. The conference has long been a platform for the former president to rally his base, but this time, he chose to skip the event, perhaps a strategic move given the current political climate. Despite his absence, Trump's presence loomed large, with attendees expressing unwavering support for his policies, especially the war in Iran.
What's intriguing is how CPAC attendees seem to view Trump as the ultimate authority on foreign policy. Jeff Hadley's comment about trusting Trump more than a 'lifelong politician' is telling. It suggests a deep-seated belief in Trump's ability to make the 'right' decisions, even when it comes to matters of war and peace. This faith in Trump's instincts is a powerful force within the party, but it also raises questions about the party's future direction without him.
War in Iran: A Divisive Issue
The war in Iran has become a litmus test for Republicans, exposing fractures within the party. While Pew Research Center's poll shows strong support for Trump's handling of the war among Republicans, this support isn't universal. Younger Republicans and conservative-leaning independents, who were crucial to Trump's success in 2024, are notably less enthusiastic.
The disillusionment among these groups is understandable. Joseph Bolick's sentiment, feeling 'betrayed' by Trump's departure from his 'no new wars' promise, resonates with many. It's a stark reminder that Trump's base is not monolithic, and his actions can alienate even his most loyal supporters. This could have significant implications for the GOP's strategy in the upcoming midterms and beyond.
CPAC's Changing Face
One of the most notable aspects of CPAC 2026 was the absence of many familiar conservative firebrands. The lineup lacked top Trump surrogates and prominent MAGA media personalities, signaling a potential shift in the movement's focus. Instead, CPAC featured newer names in the conservative movement, indicating a desire to broaden its appeal and perhaps even globalize MAGA conservatism.
The inclusion of international speakers like Liz Struss and Eduardo Bolsonaro is particularly interesting. It suggests that CPAC organizers are looking beyond America's borders, aiming to build a global conservative network. This internationalization of CPAC is a significant development, as it may shape the future of conservatism worldwide.
The Future of MAGA
As we approach 2028, the question of who can unite the Republican Party becomes increasingly pressing. Matt Schlapp's discussion on embracing differences in opinion is a nod to the party's internal struggles. While CPAC has always been a platform for diverse conservative voices, the challenge of maintaining unity without Trump is evident.
In my view, the GOP is at a crossroads. The party must decide whether it will continue to rally around Trumpism or evolve into a more inclusive, diverse movement. CPAC 2026 showcased the tension between these two paths. The conference celebrated Trump's legacy while also introducing new voices and ideas. This delicate balance will be crucial in determining the party's future success, especially in appealing to younger voters and independent conservatives who may feel alienated by the current direction.
